We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. This includes personalizing content and advertising. To learn more, click here. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Service.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Why Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Retail and Wholesale Stocks Now
Read MoreHide Full Article
Earnings are arguably the most important single number on a company's quarterly financial report. Wall Street clearly dives into all of the other metrics and management's input, but the EPS figure helps cut through all the noise.
Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.
The ability to identify stocks that are likely to top quarterly earnings expectations can be profitable, but it's no simple task. Here at Zacks, our Earnings ESP filter helps make things easier.
The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained
The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company's report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information.
Now that we understand the basic idea, let's look at how the Expected Surprise Prediction works. The ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the percentage difference between the two giving us the Zacks ESP figure.
When we join a positive earnings ESP with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or stronger, stocks posted a positive bottom-line surprise 70% of the time. Plus, this system saw investors produce roughly 28% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.
Stocks with a #3 (Hold) ranking, which is most stocks covered at 60%, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. But stocks that fall into the #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) ranking, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market. Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.
Should You Consider Booking Holdings?
The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. Booking Holdings (BKNG - Free Report) earns a #1 (Strong Buy) 17 days from its next quarterly earnings release on February 22, 2024, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $31.45 a share.
BKNG has an Earnings ESP figure of +6.16%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $31.45 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $29.62. Booking Holdings is one of a large database of stocks with positive ESPs. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
BKNG is part of a big group of Retail and Wholesale stocks that boast a positive ESP, and investors may want to take a look at Darden Restaurants (DRI - Free Report) as well.
Slated to report earnings on March 28, 2024, Darden Restaurants holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is $2.67 a share 52 days from its next quarterly update.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Darden Restaurants is $2.64, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of +0.99%.
BKNG and DRI's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
See More Zacks Research for These Tickers
Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:
Image: Bigstock
Why Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Retail and Wholesale Stocks Now
Earnings are arguably the most important single number on a company's quarterly financial report. Wall Street clearly dives into all of the other metrics and management's input, but the EPS figure helps cut through all the noise.
Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.
The ability to identify stocks that are likely to top quarterly earnings expectations can be profitable, but it's no simple task. Here at Zacks, our Earnings ESP filter helps make things easier.
The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained
The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company's report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information.
Now that we understand the basic idea, let's look at how the Expected Surprise Prediction works. The ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the percentage difference between the two giving us the Zacks ESP figure.
When we join a positive earnings ESP with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or stronger, stocks posted a positive bottom-line surprise 70% of the time. Plus, this system saw investors produce roughly 28% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.
Stocks with a #3 (Hold) ranking, which is most stocks covered at 60%, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. But stocks that fall into the #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) ranking, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market. Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.
Should You Consider Booking Holdings?
The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. Booking Holdings (BKNG - Free Report) earns a #1 (Strong Buy) 17 days from its next quarterly earnings release on February 22, 2024, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $31.45 a share.
BKNG has an Earnings ESP figure of +6.16%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $31.45 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $29.62. Booking Holdings is one of a large database of stocks with positive ESPs. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
BKNG is part of a big group of Retail and Wholesale stocks that boast a positive ESP, and investors may want to take a look at Darden Restaurants (DRI - Free Report) as well.
Slated to report earnings on March 28, 2024, Darden Restaurants holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is $2.67 a share 52 days from its next quarterly update.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Darden Restaurants is $2.64, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of +0.99%.
BKNG and DRI's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>